Open Access BlogsDossier subscriptionStrategic Configurational Intelligence & Scenario Audits
Risk analysis you can audit, not just read
Most macro and geopolitical commentary asks you to trust the analyst's instinct. SCISA is built the other way round: every judgment about a market rupture is decomposed into the exact combination of conditions that produces it, logged against sources, and stress-tested against rival explanations. What reaches your committee is not an opinion but a model a skeptic can take apart.
Configuration, not single-variable causality
Standard reports examine variables in isolation — inflation or supply bottlenecks or sanctions. Our method, formal qualitative comparative analysis, identifies the combinations of conditions that are actually necessary or sufficient for a structural disruption. The underlying question is never “does X matter” but “in which configuration does X become decisive.”
stalled front ∧ narrow point ∧ coercive loop → conduit pressure
— a truth-table row: three conditions, jointly sufficient, none sufficient alone
Every qualitative judgment is paraphrased and linked to its source in an evidence chain, so no link in the argument is a black box. And because each case is tested against rival explanations — structural concentration versus an ordinary retirement cycle, for instance — the conclusion that survives is one you can defend in front of an investment committee.
The method is applied to the same questions the weekly dispatches read beneath the headlines: shipping chokepoints, bond-market contagion, the geography of technology, the signals culture sends before the statistics do.
Three ways to put the method to work
- Configurational Risk Dossiers
A monthly executive dossier on the configuration you follow: fully calibrated QCA workbooks and truth tables, Yin evidence-chain and pattern-matching matrices, and the written reading of what changed and why.
$1,500 / month — or $15,000 / year per enterprise license
- Scenario & Rival Audit Sprints
A two-to-three-week engagement on the one question your committee is split on: a client-customised research proposition, custom fsQCA calibration with a full evidence log, a rival-hypothesis testing sprint, and an executive briefing deck with a live strategy session.
$12,000 per engagement
- Enterprise Methodology & Workflow Licensing
The method as an in-house capability: the standardised QCA and Yin template library for Excel and Python, setup of the extraction and tagging pipeline on your own sources, and methodological training for your analyst team.
$30,000 / year — retainer, plus setup fee quoted after a short scoping call
“Bridging media and academia, Pablo analyzes current events from cultural, economic, and theoretical perspectives — crafted for those valuing insightful discourse.”
See the method before you buy it
We will send you one fully realised case-study workbook — truth table, evidence chain, rival tests and all — so your team can inspect the machinery end to end.
Request the sample workbook